loader animation

AI forecasting for distributed energy systems

An edge-first solution transforming telemetry records into actionable operational intelligence

Scroll down to read more

Project highlights

Industry: Solar Energy
Client services: AI Product Development
Started in 2025
Location: United States
Team size: 5 members 
Duration: 6 months

About the client

The client is a distributed energy systems delivery and support organization operating complex solar and storage microgrids.

Their operations rely heavily on high-volume device telemetry to plan, monitor, and optimize site performance.

Business challenges 

The client faced several compounding challenges:

  • Operating heterogeneous solar and storage microgrids with multiple energy sources and devices
  • Telemetry data arriving in inconsistent formats with unclear semantic meaning
  • Limited ability to make confident, real-time decisions at the edge
  • Manual and error-prone planning and control processes due to the lack of a structured telemetry system

Without a standardized approach, both operational planning and control workflows were slow, risky, and difficult to scale.

 

Goals set to Achievion

Achievion was engaged to design and validate an edge-first intelligence platform that transforms raw telemetry into reliable, explainable, and actionable operational decisions—while laying the foundation for safe automation at scale.

The goals included:

  • Establish telemetry readiness through normalization, consistency, and prediction-ready datasets across heterogeneous devices
  • Ground all analytics and forecasts in:
  • A canonical metric vocabulary
  • Consistent, auditable telemetry interpretation rules
  • Validate the feasibility of executing forecasting and prediction workloads directly on edge devices under real-world constraints
  • Design a scalable architecture integrating prediction, modeling, validation, and controlled action execution
  • Enable operator- and support-friendly outputs with clearly labeled decisions, reasoning, and confidence indicators
  • Define governance, traceability, and auditability to support operational trust and future regulatory requirements
  • Lay the groundwork for a closed-loop control system that evolves from decision support to bounded automation

Solution 

Achievion designed and delivered an edge-first intelligence platform that transforms fragmented telemetry records into reliable, explainable, and action-ready operational insights. The solution was architected to progress from foundational data readiness and forecasting validation to a governed, closed-loop control system capable of safe, automated decision-making.

At its core, the solution establishes a trusted telemetry foundation—standardizing metric definitions, enforcing consistent interpretation, and normalizing time-series data to ensure prediction readiness across heterogeneous devices. On this foundation, Achievion implemented and validated forecasting models capable of running directly on edge devices, enabling near-real-time insights even under bandwidth and connectivity constraints.

Building on the validated forecasting capabilities, the solution defines a scalable product architecture that integrates prediction with grid modeling, validation, and bounded control actions. This architecture introduces orchestration, reasoning, and governance layers that ensure every recommendation or action is explainable, auditable, and constrained by operational and safety limits.

The resulting platform evolves microgrid operations from manual, reactive decision-making to proactive, predictive, and ultimately automated workflows—delivering improved reliability, reduced risk, and greater operational agility without compromising safety or control.

Business outcome

Achievion delivered a forecasting-centric AI system that transformed raw telemetry into actionable operational insights, laying the foundation for a predictive, automated, and governed microgrid platform.

Key Results:

  • Improved data consistency: Telemetry is now confidently and consistently interpreted
  • Enhanced business continuity: On-site power forecasting enables near-real-time planning
  • Increased agility: Predictions run reliably even with limited connectivity
  • Reduced operational risk: Early detection helps prevent overloads and unsafe conditions

The next delivery phase is underway to introduce automation with built-in guardrails, ensuring actions are executed safely within predefined operational limits.

Timeline 

October 2025
AI Assessment & Foundation
  • Assessed existing telemetry sources, device heterogeneity, and edge constraints
  • Evaluated data quality, semantic consistency, and readiness for forecasting and prediction
  • Defined canonical metric vocabulary and telemetry interpretation standards
  • Identified architectural requirements for edge execution, governance, and scalability
November-December 2025
POC Development & Validation
  • Implemented telemetry normalization pipelines and standardized time-series data models
  • Built and validated baseline forecasting models grounded in canonical metrics
  • Executed prediction workloads directly on edge devices to validate feasibility
  • Modeled energy flows to support forecasting accuracy and operational context
Q1 2026
MVP Delivery & Expansion
  • Designed a closed-loop control architecture integrating prediction, modeling, and validation
  • Defined orchestration, reasoning, and bounded control layers for safe action execution
  • Developed operator-facing outputs with explainability, traceability, and auditability
  • Prepared the platform for simulation-backed testing, reliability hardening, and production deployment

Team

Product Manager
AI Solutions Architect
IoT Engineer
Data and ML Engineer
Power Engineer SME

Tech Stack

AI and ML:

Prophet
XGBoost

IoT Technologies:

Modbus (Serial & TCP)
AWS IoT Greengrass v2

Deployment:

AWS

You may also like

Get in touch to learn how our AI powered solutions
can solve your business problem.

    *

    *

    0 from 500